Atlanta United FCvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
Original prediction
Atlanta United FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United FC
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Atlanta United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlanta United FCWWLLD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sporting Kansas CityDLLLW
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlanta United FCSporting Kansas City
38.3Attack31.7
41.7Defence18.3
30.0Form25.0
39.2Power28.4
2.08xG0.99