GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCWLDDD

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose EarthquakesLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCSan Jose Earthquakes
35.2Attack66.7
38.9Defence52.6
22.2Form57.9
34.7Power58.9
1.00xG2.43
View match centre →