GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

10.9%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real Salt LakeWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCReal Salt Lake
35.2Attack56.9
38.9Defence51.0
22.2Form52.9
34.7Power55.1
1.05xG2.05
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