GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New England Revolution are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

11.8%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlanta United FCNew England Revolution
35.2Attack51.9
38.9Defence57.4
22.2Form55.6
34.7Power55.4
0.91xG1.87
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