Atlanta United FCvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atlanta United FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40