GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlanta United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lexington are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.7 against 51.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atlanta United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlanta United FC

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Atlanta United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LexingtonWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Atlanta United FCLexington
80.0Attack53.3
20.0Defence60.0
40.0Form46.7
49.7Power51.7
2.03xG2.01
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