GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while DC United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

12.5%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DC UnitedWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlanta United FCDC United
35.2Attack48.1
38.9Defence46.3
22.2Form42.6
34.7Power48.0
1.18xG1.70
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