GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atl. San Luis U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atl. San Luis U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cruz Azul U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul U21 hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Liga MX U21, while Atl. San Luis U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atl. San Luis U21

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

14.3%

Atl. San Luis U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atl. San Luis U21LWDLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz Azul U21WDWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atl. San Luis U21Cruz Azul U21
44.4Attack44.4
44.4Defence55.6
22.2Form33.3
40.2Power48.3
1.24xG1.20
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