Atl. Rafaela 2vs
Sarmiento Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarmiento Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atl. Rafaela 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Reserve League, while Sarmiento Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sarmiento Res.
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
15.3%
Sarmiento Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20