Atl. Rafaela 2vs
Quilmes 2
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atl. Rafaela 2 are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Quilmes 2 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quilmes 2
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
19.2%
Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00