GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lanús Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Atl. Rafaela 2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lanús Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanús Res. hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Reserve League, while Lanús Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lanús Res.

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Lanús Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atl. Rafaela 2LLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lanús Res.LWLWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atl. Rafaela 2Lanús Res.
37.9Attack65.2
37.9Defence56.5
25.8Form60.9
35.5Power60.0
0.98xG2.39
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