GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atl. Andahuaylas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atl. Andahuaylas W 1-5 FBC Melgar W

Original prediction

Atl. Andahuaylas W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0144.0%41.6%-2.4 pts
Draw3.2427.3%28.3%1.1 pts
Away3.0728.8%30.1%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Atl. Andahuaylas W

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Atl. Andahuaylas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atl. Andahuaylas WLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FBC Melgar WWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atl. Andahuaylas WFBC Melgar W
47.4Attack68.5
68.4Defence46.3
70.2Form53.7
63.5Power53.2
1.77xG1.20
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