ATK Mohun Baganvs
Sreenidi Deccan
COMPLETEDIndia · IFA Shield · 9/23/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ATK Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ATK Mohun Bagan 6-0 Sreenidi Deccan
Original prediction
ATK Mohun Bagan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.1% | 49.0% | -32.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.90 | 13.0% | 24.7% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 15.33 | 5.9% | 26.3% | 20.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
ATK Mohun Bagan
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
ATK Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50