GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 8/16/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ATK Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

ATK Mohun Bagan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Machhindra are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ATK Mohun Bagan hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the AFC Champions League Two, while ATK Mohun Bagan holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ATK Mohun Bagan

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

ATK Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ATK Mohun BaganWDWWW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MachhindraW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
ATK Mohun BaganMachhindra
70.8Attack66.7
45.8Defence16.7
54.2Form50.0
56.7Power47.8
2.57xG1.58
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