ATK Mohun Baganvs
East Bengal II
COMPLETEDIndia · IFA Shield · 10/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Bengal II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 East Bengal II
Original prediction
East Bengal II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.6% | 37.0% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 25.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 50.9% | 37.7% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
East Bengal II
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
East Bengal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40