ATK Mohun Baganvs
Chennaiyin
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ATK Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 Chennaiyin
Original prediction
ATK Mohun Bagan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 70.0% | 50.1% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.9% | 25.9% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 8.96 | 10.1% | 24.1% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
ATK Mohun Bagan
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
ATK Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00