GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 8/22/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ATK Mohun Bagan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

ATK Mohun Bagan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Abahani are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ATK Mohun Bagan hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the AFC Champions League Two, while ATK Mohun Bagan holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ATK Mohun Bagan

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

ATK Mohun Bagan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ATK Mohun BaganWWDWW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AbahaniW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
ATK Mohun BaganAbahani
70.8Attack50.0
45.8Defence33.3
54.2Form50.0
56.7Power47.8
2.42xG1.48
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