GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/10/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waterford · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Athlone Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Waterford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the First Division, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Waterford

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athlone TownLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
WaterfordLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Athlone TownWaterford
32.1Attack76.9
59.3Defence70.1
38.3Form65.0
45.4Power68.2
0.58xG1.84
View match centre →