Athlone Townvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athlone Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athlone Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Treaty United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the First Division, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athlone Town
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
19.3%
Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00