Athlone Townvs
Kerry
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athlone Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
18.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80