GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 2/24/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athlone Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Athlone Town are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Finn Harps are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the First Division, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athlone Town

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athlone TownWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Finn HarpsLLLD

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.25/2.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Athlone TownFinn Harps
32.1Attack25.9
59.3Defence34.6
38.3Form27.2
45.4Power32.3
1.40xG0.57
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