First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Athlone Town

Athlone Town

Home
W
11
Full time
Finn Harps

Finn Harps

Away
L
Athlone Town Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Athlone Town(53%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Athlone Town
53%
Draw
26%
Finn Harps
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Athlone Town
94
Finn Harps
9
Defence
Athlone Town
91
Finn Harps
66
Momentum
Athlone Town
100
Finn Harps
0
Danger (xG)
Athlone Town
2.70
Finn Harps
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Athlone Town)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Finn Harps)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Athlone Town)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Finn Harps)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Athlone TownAthlone Town
WWLDD
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
LLWDL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Athlone Town53%
Draw26%
Finn Harps21%

Athlone Town leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Athlone Town head into this in First Division fixture at Athlone Town Stadium in mixed form (W), while Finn Harps arrive in mixed form (L). Athlone Town have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Finn Harps over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Athlone Town's elite attack (94/100) faces a solid Finn Harps defence (66/100), while Finn Harps's attack is up against a watertight Athlone Town backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Athlone Town's favour.

Athlone Town have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home. Finn Harps have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Athlone Town to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Athlone Town 5270%, Draw 2640%, Finn Harps 2100%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Athlone Town 0Draws 10 Finn Harps
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
26 Jun 2026
Athlone Town
D11
Finn Harps

Recent form

Athlone Town

Athlone Town

W
vs Midleton
17 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Cobh Ramblers
10 Jul 2026
20
L
@ Bray Wanderers
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Finn Harps
26 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Wexford
19 Jun 2026
22
Finn Harps

Finn Harps

L
vs Bray Wanderers
17 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Treaty United
10 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Wexford
3 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Athlone Town
26 Jun 2026
11
L
@ Treaty United
15 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

GoalVio's model predicts Athlone Town to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more