Athlone Townvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 2/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athlone Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Athlone Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the First Division, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athlone Town
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
18.4%
Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80