Athlone Townvs
Bray Wanderers
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athlone Town 2-1 Bray Wanderers
Original prediction
Bray Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.0% | 28.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 24.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.6% | 47.2% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Bray Wanderers
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20