Athletic Club Wvs
Valencia W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club W 1-0 Valencia W
Original prediction
Athletic Club W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.4% | 64.9% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.8% | 19.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.8% | 15.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club W
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Athletic Club W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20