GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Athletic Club W 0-0 Sevilla W

Original prediction

Athletic Club W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.4%56.4%8.0 pts
Draw3.3227.1%23.3%-3.9 pts
Away3.6824.5%20.4%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club W

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Athletic Club W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic Club WWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sevilla WDDLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic Club WSevilla W
57.1Attack38.1
61.9Defence47.6
66.7Form38.1
64.6Power43.1
1.95xG0.89
View match centre →