Athletic Club Wvs
Espanyol W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club W 2-2 Espanyol W
Original prediction
Athletic Club W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.6% | 50.9% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.0% | 23.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Athletic Club W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00