Athletic Club Wvs
Atletico Madrid W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club W 3-2 Atletico Madrid W
Original prediction
Athletic Club W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.62 | 24.8% | 41.3% | 16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 25.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.9% | 33.0% | -16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club W
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Athletic Club W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80