GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/11/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ypiranga-RSWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubYpiranga-RS
60.0Attack33.3
53.3Defence66.7
46.7Form50.0
54.3Power51.0
1.41xG1.04
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