Athletic Clubvs
Sevilla
SCHEDULEDSpain · La Liga · 8/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Athletic Club are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sevilla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and athletic Club hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the La Liga, favouring Athletic Club with 14.2% confidence, a 43% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
14.2%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40