GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Rangers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubWDDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RangersDDLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubRangers
52.4Attack33.3
59.5Defence50.0
61.9Form16.7
58.7Power36.5
1.79xG0.94
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