GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Plzen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.7 against 59.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PlzenWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubPlzen
52.4Attack47.9
59.5Defence64.6
61.9Form58.3
58.7Power59.0
1.20xG1.06
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