Athletic Clubvs
Manchester United
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 5/1/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Athletic Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Manchester United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40