Athletic Clubvs
Londrina
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/13/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina
Original prediction
Athletic Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.6% | 46.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.8% | 27.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.6% | 25.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60