GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.7 against 58.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
IF elfsborgWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubIF elfsborg
52.4Attack50.0
59.5Defence62.5
61.9Form60.4
58.7Power58.8
1.27xG1.11
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