GGOALVIO

Ath­let­ic Club logoAth­let­ic ClubvsGolden Lion logoGolden Lion

COMPLETED

World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 9/20/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ath­let­ic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ath­let­ic Club are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Golden Lion are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ath­let­ic Club hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (31.2 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Ath­let­ic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ath­let­ic Club

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Ath­let­ic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ath­let­ic ClubLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Golden LionL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ath­let­ic ClubGolden Lion
33.3Attack41.7
41.7Defence8.3
8.3Form25.0
31.2Power29.2
1.53xG1.25
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