Athletic Clubvs
Getafe
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Athletic Club 0-0 Getafe, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club 4-0 Getafe
Original prediction
Athletic Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 61.2% | 45.7% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 24.1% | 31.2% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 6.50 | 14.7% | 23.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Projected Score
Athletic Club 0–0 Getafe
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Athletic ClubLDDWD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GetafeLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubGetafe
29.6Attack18.5
66.7Defence59.3
37.0Form33.3
45.6Power39.9
0.85xG0.54