Athletic Clubvs
Cuiaba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athletic Club are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cuiaba are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80