Athletic Clubvs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/19/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Athletic Club 0-0 Botafogo SP, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club 1-1 Botafogo SP
Original prediction
Athletic Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.3% | 44.9% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.4% | 29.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.3% | 25.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Athletic Club 0–0 Botafogo SP
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40