GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AZ AlkmaarLWWWW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Athletic ClubAZ Alkmaar
52.4Attack58.3
59.5Defence47.2
61.9Form50.0
58.7Power53.5
1.82xG1.27
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