Serie BSerie B
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Home
DL
10
Full time
Avai

Avai

Away
DWL
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Athletic Club(47%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Athletic Club
Win probability
Athletic Club
47%
Draw
29%
Avai
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Athletic Club
9
Avai
47
Defence
Athletic Club
82
Avai
53
Momentum
Athletic Club
17
Avai
44
Danger (xG)
Athletic Club
0.00
Avai
1.05
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Athletic Club)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Avai)
1.05
avg per match
xG against (Athletic Club)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Avai)
1.48
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
DLWLL
AvaiAvai
DWLLW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Athletic Club47%
Draw29%
Avai24%

Athletic Club leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Athletic Club head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (DL), while Avai arrive in mixed form (DWL). Athletic Club have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Avai over 3 games.

The model rates Athletic Club's attack at 9/100 against a 53/100 Avai defence, and Avai's attack at 47/100 against a 82/100 Athletic Club backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Athletic Club have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Avai have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Avai have generated 1.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.86 xG per match.

Athletic Club have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Athletic Club to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Athletic Club 4732%, Draw 2872%, Avai 2396%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Athletic Club 1Draws 00 Avai
Avg goals: 1.0
28 Jun 2026
Athletic Club
W10
Avai

Recent form

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Athletic Club vs Avai?

GoalVio's model predicts Athletic Club to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Avai?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs Avai?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Athletic Club vs Avai?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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