Athletic Clubvs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/13/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Athletic Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AS Roma are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80