Athletic Club IIvs
Real Unión
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club II 0-0 Real Unión
Original prediction
Athletic Club II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 48.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 23.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 28.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club II
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Athletic Club II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00