Athletic Club IIvs
Deportivo La Coruña II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Club II 2-2 Deportivo La Coruña II
Original prediction
Athletic Club II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 43.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 29.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.3% | 27.5% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Athletic Club II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20