Athletic Carpivs
Union Brescia
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/3/2027, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Brescia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80