GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2027, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Carpi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Athletic Carpi holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Carpi

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Athletic Carpi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic CarpiWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic CarpiPergolettese
50.0Attack38.6
50.0Defence56.1
50.0Form39.5
50.0Power45.8
1.26xG0.91
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