Athletic Carpivs
Ospitaletto
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60