GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Carpi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Athletic Carpi holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Carpi

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Athletic Carpi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic CarpiWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Athletic CarpiLecco
50.0Attack31.6
50.0Defence58.8
50.0Form37.7
50.0Power44.9
1.18xG0.74
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