Athletic Carpivs
Juventus U23
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Carpi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Athletic Carpi 3-3 Juventus U23
Original prediction
Athletic Carpi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.6% | 36.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 29.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.4% | 33.4% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Carpi
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Athletic Carpi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80