GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic CarpiWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Athletic CarpiGiana Erminio
50.0Attack40.4
50.0Defence61.4
50.0Form46.5
50.0Power50.7
1.09xG0.97
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